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Red119
884014.5
132343.6
594045.4
Blue105
58134.8
84131.3
666222.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11596406080140160180119105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
44.845.2
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End6.3
red by 10.6
581
#4
34.80.0
35.135.1
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
43.60.4
43.043.4
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 12.3
841
#3
31.30.0
31.631.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
Third
8840
#23
14.50.4
14.014.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
blue by 7.6
6662
#14
22.20.0
22.422.5
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9