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Red92
665721.8
581730.9
84027.0
Blue80
876816.1
414119.4
350127.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91652040801001201409280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.90.2
30.730.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 3.2
3501
#12
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
840
#5
27.00.2
26.827.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 7.6
4141
#19
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
Third
6657
#22
21.80.2
21.621.8
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 5.7
8768
#10
16.10.4
15.716.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9