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Red86
666222.2
84131.3
58134.8
Blue90
84027.0
581730.9
665721.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100864060801201401608690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#4
34.80.3
35.134.8
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
red by 4.0
5817
#11
30.90.1
30.931.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
841
#3
31.30.3
31.631.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 4.4
840
#5
27.00.1
27.027.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
6662
#14
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
red by 0.4
6657
#22
21.80.1
21.821.9
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1