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Red81
350127.7
414119.4
914312.3
Blue52
840420.1
715723.8
128012.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63635560657075808152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#12
27.70.4
26.627.0
Auto11.7
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 3.9
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
4141
#19
19.40.4
18.318.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
8404
#20
20.10.2
20.320.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
9143
#21
12.30.4
11.912.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.8
red by 0.1
1280
#33
12.10.2
12.412.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3