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Red125
884014.5
132343.6
594045.4
Blue90
397023.5
248918.4
694730.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11674406010014016018012590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.6
44.344.8
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End6.3
red by 15.0
30.40.4
30.330.6
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
43.60.6
42.543.0
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 20.1
23.50.4
23.423.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
8840
#23
14.50.6
13.414.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
blue by 3.9
2489
#16
18.40.4
18.318.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4