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Red55
244318.2
119723.6
246518.4
Blue90
940834.3
375910.9
271019.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6461507080905590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.2
22.222.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 10.7
34.32.3
30.132.4
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Second
2465
#14
18.40.2
19.419.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 1.1
2710
#23
19.52.3
15.617.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Third
2443
#20
18.20.2
15.815.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
red by 7.2
3759
#12
10.92.3
10.112.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned