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Red64
88987.8
145219.7
36836.3
Blue43
340810.5
70215.9
17594.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363110204050606443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#1
36.33.6
13.817.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.7
red by 20.4
702
#21
15.91.0
10.911.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Second
19.72.4
8.911.3
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 9.2
3408
#39
10.51.0
10.311.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Third
8898
#26
7.83.6
9.312.8
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
red by 3.8
1759
#43
4.01.0
7.88.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed