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Red39
26377.6
49999.5
519925.0
Blue26
9809.2
9689.0
58575.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512304060801003926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
20.119.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 15.8
980
#35
9.20.2
6.46.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Second
4999
#30
9.50.4
11.811.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 0.5
968
#33
9.00.2
10.610.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Third
2637
#27
7.60.4
11.110.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 2.3
5857
#42
5.30.2
7.17.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed