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Red56
59720.3
420124.3
95646.0
Blue73
36836.3
116016.4
151519.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5174204060801001205673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.2
22.122.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
blue by 12.0
368
#1
36.30.7
33.334.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
597
#17
20.30.3
16.716.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 1.3
1515
#16
19.00.8
18.419.1
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
9564
#36
6.00.3
9.910.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 10.4
1160
#13
16.40.8
12.413.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed