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Red32
59910.1
38599.0
412313.1
Blue62
68729.6
508912.7
244318.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376602060801001203262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#18
13.12.3
12.410.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End2.5
blue by 16.5
687
#5
29.60.4
29.630.0
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Second
599
#38
10.12.3
12.810.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 8.0
2443
#20
18.20.6
15.115.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
Third
3859
#32
9.01.4
11.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.7
blue by 3.7
5089
#29
12.70.6
11.612.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed