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Red37
49999.5
407916.3
246518.4
Blue74
151519.0
420124.3
145219.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435101001502002503003503774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#14
18.40.5
14.714.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 5.8
24.32.0
18.520.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
Second
4079
#19
16.30.5
13.913.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.2
blue by 3.4
19.71.6
13.815.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
4999
#30Sur
9.50.5
11.410.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 9.5
1515
#16Sur
19.02.7
12.615.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned