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Red31
59720.3
58575.3
17594.0
Blue46
244318.2
95646.0
271019.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060801003146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#17
20.30.3
14.815.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 0.8
2710
#23
19.50.0
16.116.0
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Second
5857
#42
5.30.3
7.37.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End-0.1
blue by 12.9
2443
#20
18.20.1
15.815.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
Third
1759
#43
4.00.3
6.56.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 2.0
9564
#36
6.00.1
8.78.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed