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Red62
114822.5
183610.7
38599.0
Blue74
36836.3
45016.5
704225.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555001002003004006274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
22.021.5
Auto2.6
Teleop17.1
End2.8
blue by 13.8
368
#1
36.32.6
22.024.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
1836
#28
10.70.8
15.915.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End-0.3
blue by 15.1
7042
#10
25.82.6
15.818.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
3859
#32
9.00.5
11.010.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.7
red by 2.5
4501
#25
6.51.6
7.79.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned