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Red60
145219.7
59720.3
9809.2
Blue83
704225.8
375910.9
420124.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445201001502002506083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#17
20.32.1
15.317.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 5.5
7042
#10
25.83.0
18.421.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
19.71.3
17.819.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 4.6
24.31.8
19.721.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
Third
980
#35
9.21.3
7.99.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 1.7
3759
#12
10.91.8
7.79.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned