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Red55
151519.0
271019.5
59910.1
Blue89
16619.8
519925.0
258420.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559020801001205589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#23
19.50.7
15.816.5
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 5.5
25.00.8
22.523.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Second
1515
#16
19.01.2
16.217.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
blue by 1.5
2584
#15
20.51.4
20.722.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
599
#38
10.11.2
10.611.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 0.4
1661
#22
9.80.8
8.59.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned