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Red17
26377.6
340810.5
88987.8
Blue43
116016.4
9689.0
183610.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4246203050601743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#39
10.52.6
14.211.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 6.0
1160
#13
16.42.8
14.311.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
8898
#26
7.82.6
12.810.2
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 2.9
1836
#28
10.72.8
14.111.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End-0.3
Third
2637
#27
7.62.6
11.28.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.4
968
#33
9.02.8
12.69.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned