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Red42
88987.8
49999.5
11598.3
Blue68
741519.7
519925.0
59910.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265902040801004268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4999
#30
9.50.1
11.211.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 15.5
25.01.3
24.926.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Second
1159
#24
8.30.1
6.46.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 11.4
19.72.1
14.916.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Third
8898
#26
7.80.1
10.210.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 2.4
599
#38
10.12.0
9.411.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed