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Red53
375910.9
258420.5
508912.7
Blue68
36836.3
34737.2
16619.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801001205368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#15
20.50.1
22.122.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 15.8
368
#1
36.31.7
31.633.3
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
5089
#29
12.70.1
11.311.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 2.9
1661
#22
9.81.0
9.710.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Third
3759
#12
10.90.0
10.110.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 3.8
3473
#31
7.21.0
6.67.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed