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Red65
704225.8
69043.8
244318.2
Blue78
420124.3
713712.6
45016.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5249304060706578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#10
25.80.5
24.023.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
red by 1.5
24.30.2
21.922.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
Second
2443
#20
18.20.5
16.315.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
red by 5.6
7137
#11
12.60.4
13.914.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
6904
#44
3.80.5
6.35.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 2.7
4501
#25
6.50.2
8.89.0
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned