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Red56
9689.0
59720.3
246518.4
Blue29
183610.7
70215.9
119723.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50493035404555605629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#17
20.30.6
16.917.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 3.3
23.61.0
23.222.2
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
2465
#14
18.40.6
18.819.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 2.5
702
#21
15.91.6
12.410.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Third
968
#33
9.00.6
9.810.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 1.7
1836
#28
10.71.7
9.07.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed