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Red29
17594.0
145219.7
45016.5
Blue42
34737.2
407916.3
412313.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403702060801002942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.8
19.618.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 3.4
4079
#19
16.30.7
11.912.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.2
Second
4501
#25
6.50.8
9.08.2
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
blue by 6.6
4123
#18
13.10.6
14.515.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Third
1759
#43
4.01.2
7.26.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 3.1
3473
#31
7.20.4
7.68.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed