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Red21
258420.5
60007.3
69043.8
Blue59
49999.5
72304.2
36836.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801001202159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#15
20.51.7
22.020.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 15.8
368
#1
36.30.0
34.034.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
6000
#41
7.31.6
9.68.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 2.2
4999
#30
9.50.0
11.111.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
6904
#44
3.81.6
5.84.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 0.4
7230
#37
4.20.0
3.83.8
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed