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Red51
519925.0
68729.6
58575.3
Blue103
145219.7
940834.3
119723.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698320406010012014016051103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#5
29.61.6
30.228.6
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 4.7
34.30.3
32.432.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Second
25.01.6
26.224.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 1.4
23.60.3
22.022.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Third
5857
#42
5.32.2
8.05.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End-0.1
blue by 14.4
19.70.3
18.819.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsEarned