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Red25
11598.3
16619.8
375910.9
Blue20
60007.3
95646.0
49999.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35270102040506070802520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#12
10.91.1
12.010.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 1.5
4999
#30
9.50.7
11.110.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Second
1661
#22
9.81.1
10.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.0
red by 2.5
6000
#41
7.30.7
8.07.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Third
1159
#24
8.31.1
8.07.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 2.3
9564
#36
6.00.7
6.76.0
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed