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Red50
70215.9
508912.7
116016.4
Blue44
407916.3
665810.0
56698.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47330204060805044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#13
16.40.8
15.616.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 0.1
4079
#19
16.31.2
14.515.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.2
Second
702
#21
15.90.8
13.214.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End1.5
red by 5.9
6658
#34
10.00.8
9.210.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Third
5089
#29
12.70.8
11.812.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 3.8
5669
#40
8.91.1
7.88.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed