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Red25
59910.1
69043.8
340810.5
Blue51
704225.8
246518.4
26377.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2266040801001202551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#39
10.50.4
10.910.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 15.4
7042
#10
25.81.1
25.924.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
599
#38
10.10.4
9.79.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 8.3
2465
#14
18.41.1
19.518.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Third
6904
#44
3.80.4
4.23.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 3.8
2637
#27
7.61.1
8.77.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed