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Red82
114822.5
145219.7
407916.3
Blue48
119723.6
16619.8
88987.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060801001201408248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.53.3
14.217.4
Auto2.6
Teleop17.1
End2.8
blue by 1.1
23.60.7
18.319.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
19.72.4
11.313.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 9.9
1661
#22
9.80.6
7.07.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Third
4079
#19
16.34.1
9.813.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.2
red by 8.5
8898
#26
7.80.9
12.813.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed