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Red6
375910.9
17594.0
72304.2
Blue48
340810.5
45016.5
246518.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2834020406080648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#12
10.91.8
7.96.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 7.5
2465
#14
18.42.0
12.714.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
7230
#37
4.22.2
9.67.3
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
blue by 6.2
3408
#39
10.52.0
11.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Third
1759
#43
4.02.2
8.86.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 2.4
4501
#25
6.51.5
5.87.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed