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Red77
145219.7
741519.7
59720.3
Blue87
258420.5
68729.6
407916.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647302040801001201407787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#17
20.30.3
20.020.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 9.3
687
#5
29.60.0
29.229.2
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Second
19.70.2
19.419.7
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 0.8
2584
#15
20.50.0
20.020.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 3.4
4079
#19
16.30.0
15.815.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.2