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Red66
59910.1
151519.0
420124.3
Blue71
114822.5
70215.9
244318.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59595565706671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.1
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
red by 1.8
22.50.2
21.621.9
Auto2.6
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
1515
#16
19.00.1
19.019.0
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 0.8
2443
#20
18.20.3
17.117.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
Third
599
#38
10.10.1
10.210.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 5.8
702
#21
15.90.3
14.815.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End1.5