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Red70
704225.8
271019.5
183610.7
Blue50
59720.3
741519.7
145219.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596702040801001201407050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#10
25.80.4
25.225.7
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
red by 5.5
597
#17
20.30.3
20.320.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Second
2710
#23
19.50.3
19.119.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 0.2
19.70.2
19.619.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
1836
#28
10.70.5
10.110.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End-0.3
blue by 9.0
19.70.3
19.619.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1