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Red66
413516.5
25316.7
304524.1
Blue100
132356.9
213525.5
517115.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328902040608010012014016066100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.13.4
13.116.5
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 32.7
56.91.8
45.647.4
Auto21.1
Teleop28.5
End7.3
Second
253
#13
16.72.0
11.913.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.8
blue by 8.8
25.51.8
15.217.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
16.52.0
10.612.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 0.7
5171
#20
15.81.8
12.714.5
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned