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Red46
64920.6
8528.2
247321.4
Blue27
752810.4
900611.3
95466.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622602040801004627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#18
21.40.4
19.419.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 10.2
9006
#25
11.30.1
6.36.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Second
649
#27
20.60.4
20.920.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End0.7
red by 10.1
7528
#31
10.40.1
13.013.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
852
#35
8.20.4
11.611.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.6
red by 1.6
9546
#32
6.60.1
8.78.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed