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Red70
11529.1
107217.7
413516.5
Blue44
64920.6
366917.8
691812.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64502040801001207044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#4
29.10.6
27.728.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 8.5
649
#27
20.60.2
22.322.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Second
1072
#14
17.70.6
14.615.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 0.1
3669
#12
17.80.2
16.816.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
16.50.6
13.914.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 4.5
6918
#17
12.00.2
7.87.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed