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Red1
65067.4
95466.6
77778.0
Blue47
247321.4
264314.3
517115.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24520406080100147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7777
#21
8.01.6
6.95.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
blue by 13.5
2473
#18
21.40.2
19.019.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
6506
#34
7.42.7
9.46.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
blue by 8.4
5171
#20
15.80.2
14.915.1
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
9546
#32
6.62.7
9.16.4
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
2643
#11
14.30.2
10.010.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed