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Red21
8528.2
304524.1
41718.7
Blue52
66654.9
66811.9
476523.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50412030607080902152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.12.6
21.719.1
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 1.2
23.00.6
19.119.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
4171
#36
8.72.6
11.08.4
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 3.2
668
#33
11.90.6
15.015.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
852
#35
8.21.6
11.810.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.6
red by 3.3
6665
#28
4.90.6
4.34.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed