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Red90
132356.9
264314.3
304524.1
Blue39
425516.1
64920.6
741314.4
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665402040801001201401609039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.92.0
43.645.6
Auto21.1
Teleop28.5
End7.3
red by 36.3
649
#27
20.60.9
21.820.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Second
24.13.3
9.813.1
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 8.0
4255
#30
16.11.3
16.715.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
2643
#11
14.32.4
5.07.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 0.1
7413
#19
14.40.8
11.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed