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Red34
95466.6
413516.5
508916.5
Blue31
68847.5
476523.0
25316.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37331020304050603431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#16
16.50.3
12.712.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 6.5
23.00.1
14.314.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
16.50.2
10.810.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
blue by 0.2
253
#13
16.70.1
11.911.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Third
9546
#32
6.62.1
6.68.7
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
blue by 0.9
6884
#29
7.50.1
4.14.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed