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Red48
203513.5
10028.0
65067.4
Blue32
41718.7
77778.0
128016.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433701001504832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#3
28.00.7
19.219.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 11.9
1280
#26
16.10.6
14.313.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Second
2035
#24
13.50.7
10.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End1.4
red by 4.8
4171
#36
8.71.0
11.410.4
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
Third
6506
#34
7.41.1
8.59.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
blue by 0.6
7777
#21
8.00.7
8.27.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed