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Red45
66811.9
325715.9
366917.8
Blue102
696223.4
60448.7
97131.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33102020608012014016045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#12
17.80.5
13.814.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
blue by 30.9
604
#2
48.71.2
39.941.1
Auto18.4
Teleop25.1
End5.2
Second
3257
#23
15.90.5
12.513.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 15.5
971
#5
31.31.3
23.124.4
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
Third
668
#33
11.90.5
11.912.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 11.5
6962
#15
23.41.3
21.322.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned