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Red104
97131.3
508916.5
64920.6
Blue37
41718.7
65067.4
425516.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81240406010012014016010437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
31.30.0
30.730.7
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
red by 15.2
4255
#30
16.10.7
13.714.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Second
649
#27
20.60.0
18.818.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End0.7
red by 11.9
4171
#36
8.70.7
7.88.6
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
Third
5089
#16
16.50.0
16.816.8
Auto7.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
red by 9.1
6506
#34
7.40.7
7.17.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed