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Red54
66654.9
11529.1
517115.8
Blue29
68847.5
325715.9
77778.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583102040801005429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#4
29.10.3
29.029.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 13.2
3257
#23
15.90.3
14.214.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Second
5171
#20
15.80.3
15.916.2
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 7.9
7777
#21
8.00.3
8.78.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
Third
6665
#28
4.90.3
4.24.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.8
blue by 2.5
6884
#29
7.50.3
8.17.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed