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Red98
132356.9
696223.4
66654.9
Blue24
95466.6
66811.9
107217.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99360501509824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.4
55.656.0
Auto21.1
Teleop28.5
End7.3
red by 39.2
1072
#14
17.71.2
19.218.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
6962
#15
23.40.4
22.122.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
red by 11.5
668
#33
11.91.2
13.111.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
6665
#28
4.90.4
4.64.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.8
blue by 1.6
9546
#32
6.61.5
8.16.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed