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Red98
213525.5
570022.2
476523.0
Blue48
203513.5
325715.9
247321.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70510204060801001201409848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.8
21.823.6
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 4.0
2473
#18
21.40.0
21.621.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Second
23.01.8
21.122.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 7.1
3257
#23
15.90.0
14.014.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
5700
#10
22.21.8
18.520.3
Auto12.3
Teleop9.2
End0.6
red by 8.7
2035
#24
13.50.0
12.612.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed