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Red28
950510.7
416016.8
55005.5
Blue84
58923.0
81212.5
447011.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355302060801001202884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#25
16.81.3
16.615.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 6.2
589
#23
23.00.3
21.621.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
9505
#24
10.71.3
9.17.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
blue by 1.8
812
#43
12.50.3
12.512.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Third
5500
#48
5.51.8
8.26.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End-0.4
blue by 5.9
4470
#29
11.40.4
11.511.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed