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Red105
592421.2
519934.0
977212.1
Blue49
74476.9
699530.5
414125.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636805010015020010549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.2
27.227.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
red by 3.5
30.50.8
30.029.1
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
5924
#21
21.20.2
20.820.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
blue by 3.8
25.10.8
19.618.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Third
9772
#32
12.10.3
9.49.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.1
red by 5.1
7447
#44
6.91.3
11.510.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed