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Red48
512410.1
461914.0
583516.8
Blue76
803334.3
927121.3
30207.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335602040801004876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.9
13.714.6
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 17.5
8033
#16
34.31.2
30.231.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End0.6
Second
4619
#36
14.01.5
10.011.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
blue by 7.3
9271
#12
21.32.0
10.712.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
5124
#42
10.11.0
8.69.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End0.6
red by 3.0
3020
#46
7.02.0
7.39.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned