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Red75
592421.2
927121.3
427617.2
Blue39
55005.5
903719.6
347312.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801007539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9271
#12
21.33.0
12.715.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
red by 1.7
9037
#10
19.60.5
16.216.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
5924
#21
21.21.8
20.822.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
red by 9.1
3473
#35
12.20.5
8.69.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Third
4276
#20
17.21.8
14.316.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
red by 11.7
5500
#48
5.50.9
6.27.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed