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Red58
74476.9
395214.3
803334.3
Blue39
49997.1
930110.8
416016.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623402040801005839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#16
34.30.4
31.331.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End0.6
red by 17.5
4160
#25
16.80.4
15.015.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Second
3952
#40
14.30.6
11.211.9
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End1.8
red by 3.6
9301
#34
10.80.4
8.99.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
7447
#44
6.90.6
9.810.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 0.1
4999
#47
7.10.4
9.810.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed