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Red45
441529.1
8679.3
30207.0
Blue53
416016.8
427617.2
699530.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46710204060801001204553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
29.10.0
25.825.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
blue by 1.4
30.50.7
30.129.3
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
867
#37
9.30.0
9.89.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 7.9
4276
#20
17.20.7
16.215.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Third
3020
#46
7.00.0
9.49.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 9.8
4160
#25
16.80.7
15.414.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed